Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madla 4-0 Odd II
Original prediction
Madla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 72.8% | 47.9% | -24.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.73 | 15.7% | 22.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 7.79 | 11.5% | 29.9% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Madla
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Madla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MadlaDWDWL
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Odd IIWLLWL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MadlaOdd II
100.0Attack76.9
0.0Defence38.5
100.0Form51.3
72.0Power53.9
2.85xG2.63