Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
7%
LowconfidenceMadla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Odd II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Madla hold a 18.1-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the 3. Division - Girone 4, favouring a draw with 6.6% confidence, a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.3%
Model confidence
6.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MadlaWDWLW
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Odd IILLWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MadlaOdd II
100.0Attack76.9
0.0Defence38.5
100.0Form51.3
72.0Power53.9
2.85xG2.63