Madlavs
Haugesund II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Madla 1-1 Haugesund II
Original prediction
Madla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.4% | 50.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.4% | 23.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.2% | 26.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Madla
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Madla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MadlaWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Haugesund IILLLWW
GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MadlaHaugesund II
100.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
84.5Power50.0
2.90xG1.72