Macvavs
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 8/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Macva are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Radnički Sr. Mitrovica are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Macva hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00