Macvavs
OFK Beograd
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OFK Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Macva 1-1 OFK Beograd
Original prediction
OFK Beograd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.6% | 30.3% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 26.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 43.2% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
OFK Beograd
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
OFK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40