Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Macva

Macva

Home
L
12
Full time
Naftagas

Naftagas

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Macva35%
Draw35%
Naftagas30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Naftagas
Win probability
Macva
35%
Draw
35%
Naftagas
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Macva
34
Naftagas
73
Defence
Macva
27
Naftagas
66
Momentum
Macva
0
Naftagas
100
Danger (xG)
Macva
0.90
Naftagas
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Macva)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Naftagas)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Macva)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Naftagas)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MacvaMacva
LL
NaftagasNaftagas
WW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Macva35%
Draw35%
Naftagas30%

Macva leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Macva head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Naftagas arrive in mixed form (W). Macva have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Naftagas over 1 games.

Tactically, Naftagas hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Macva defence (27/100), while Macva's attack faces a solid Naftagas backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Macva have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Naftagas have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Naftagas have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Macva to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Macva 3518%, Draw 3500%, Naftagas 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Macva 0Draws 01 Naftagas
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Macva
L12
Naftagas

Recent form

Macva

Macva

L
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
17 Jul 2026
05
L
vs Naftagas
14 Jul 2026
12
Naftagas

Naftagas

W
@ Macva
14 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Indjija
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Macva vs Naftagas?

GoalVio's model predicts Macva to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Macva vs Naftagas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Macva vs Naftagas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Macva vs Naftagas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more