Macvavs
Mladost Lucani
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladost Lucani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Macva 0-0 Mladost Lucani, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Macva 1-2 Mladost Lucani
Original prediction
Mladost Lucani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.2% | 29.1% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.2% | 30.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 40.3% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Macva 0–0 Mladost Lucani
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Mladost Lucani
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Mladost Lucani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MacvaLDDWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mladost LucaniLWLWW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MacvaMladost Lucani
18.5Attack29.6
44.4Defence59.3
29.6Form48.1
34.0Power47.6
0.72xG0.98