Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lioli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machokha 0-5 Lioli
Original prediction
Lioli
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Lioli
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Lioli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MachokhaLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LioliWWDDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MachokhaLioli
22.2Attack77.8
33.3Defence55.6
0.0Form77.8
22.9Power72.8
1.02xG1.81