Machida Zelviavs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machida Zelvia 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.5% | 56.7% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.1% | 22.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 23.4% | 20.4% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80