Machida Zelviavs
Svay Rieng
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machida Zelvia 2-0 Svay Rieng
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.5% | 49.4% | -31.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.37 | 12.3% | 23.8% | 11.5 pts |
| Away | 12.69 | 7.1% | 26.9% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80