GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Machida ZelviaMito Hollyhock
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
95.8Power36.5
1.94xG0.93
View match centre →