Machida Zelviavs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machida Zelvia 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.1% | 45.5% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 27.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 22.1% | 27.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40