Machida Zelviavs
Kawasaki Frontale
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machida Zelvia 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.5% | 51.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.9% | 24.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 24.6% | 24.2% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40