GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kashiwa ReysolWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Machida ZelviaKashiwa Reysol
100.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
95.8Power86.5
1.59xG1.26
View match centre →