Machida Zelviavs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Machida Zelvia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80