GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kashima are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

11.6%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KashimaWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Machida ZelviaKashima
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
95.8Power83.3
1.84xG1.26
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