GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Machida Zelvia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JEF United Chiba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold an 86.8-point power-rating edge (95.8 v 9.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

11.4%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Machida ZelviaDWDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JEF United ChibaDDLLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Machida ZelviaJEF United Chiba
100.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
95.8Power9.0
2.23xG0.88
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