Machida Zelviavs
Grulla Morioka
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Machida Zelvia 3-0 Grulla Morioka
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.7% | 49.1% | -32.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.44 | 12.3% | 24.5% | 12.2 pts |
| Away | 15.29 | 6.0% | 26.3% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80