Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Machico are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mirandela are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Machico hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00