Machicovs
Estrela Calheta
LIVEPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Machico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Estrela Calheta have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela Calheta hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
18.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00