Macclesfieldvs
South Shields
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Macclesfield 0-0 South Shields, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Macclesfield 4-3 South Shields
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.5% | 44.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 30.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.7% | 25.4% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Macclesfield 0–0 South Shields
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80