Macclesfieldvs
Matlock Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Macclesfield are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Matlock Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Macclesfield hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (65.0 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Macclesfield holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20