Macclesfieldvs
Hebburn Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Macclesfield 3-0 Hebburn Town
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.6% | 41.8% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.2% | 26.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.1% | 32.0% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00