Macclesfieldvs
Harborough Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Macclesfield 1-0 Harborough Town, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Macclesfield 1-0 Harborough Town
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.0% | 48.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.6% | 28.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.5% | 22.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Macclesfield 1–0 Harborough Town
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00