Macclesfieldvs
Anstey Nomads
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macclesfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Macclesfield 1-1 Anstey Nomads
Original prediction
Macclesfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.4% | 41.4% | -20.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.5% | 23.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.03 | 18.1% | 34.7% | 16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Macclesfield
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Macclesfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00