Maccabi Yavnevs
Ironi Beit Shemesh
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Yavne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Yavne 5-1 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Original prediction
Maccabi Yavne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.6% | 42.0% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 27.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.1% | 30.3% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Yavne
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Maccabi Yavne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00