Maccabi Yavnevs
Holon Yermiyahu
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Yavne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Yavne 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Yavne 1-3 Holon Yermiyahu
Original prediction
Maccabi Yavne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.4% | 43.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 28.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.1% | 27.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Yavne 0–0 Holon Yermiyahu
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Yavne
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Maccabi Yavne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00