Maccabi Yavnevs
Hapoel Herzliya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 10:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Yavne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Yavne 0-0 Hapoel Herzliya
Original prediction
Maccabi Yavne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.3% | 40.8% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.4% | 27.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.3% | 32.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Yavne
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Maccabi Yavne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80