GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while TSC Backa Topola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 17.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

77.1%

Model confidence

77.1%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TSC Backa TopolaLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Maccabi Tel AvivTSC Backa Topola
75.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
75.0Form5.6
69.7Power17.4
2.97xG0.80
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