Maccabi Tel AvivvsRīgas FS

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.