GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/24/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real SociedadWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivReal Sociedad
75.0Attack61.1
66.7Defence52.8
75.0Form55.6
69.7Power57.0
1.88xG1.37
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