Maccabi Tel Avivvs
Maccabi Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/31/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Original prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.1% | 42.4% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.2% | 26.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.7% | 31.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40