Maccabi Tel Avivvs
Lyon
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lyon are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60