GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lyon are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LyonDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivLyon
75.0Attack80.6
66.7Defence55.6
75.0Form61.1
69.7Power65.3
1.73xG1.84
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