Maccabi Tel Avivvs
Hapoel Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6-2 Hapoel Haifa
Original prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 74.4% | 63.4% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.78 | 15.8% | 20.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 9.33 | 9.8% | 16.0% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40