GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Porto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivDLWDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC PortoDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivFC Porto
75.0Attack53.3
66.7Defence50.0
75.0Form40.0
69.7Power49.6
2.04xG1.17
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