GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Lugano are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

10.6%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FC LuganoDWWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivFC Lugano
73.8Attack83.3
54.8Defence75.0
76.2Form83.3
68.4Power80.0
1.86xG1.58
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