GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CSKA Sofia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

13.3%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA SofiaWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivCSKA Sofia
75.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
75.0Form61.1
69.7Power60.6
1.55xG1.12
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