GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bologna are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (69.7 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolognaLDLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivBologna
75.0Attack52.4
66.7Defence57.1
75.0Form59.5
69.7Power57.7
1.70xG1.18
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