Maccabi Tel Avivvs
Bnei Sakhnin
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin
Original prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.6% | 65.4% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.16 | 12.8% | 19.8% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 16.60 | 5.5% | 14.8% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20