GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 8/27/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ashdod are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (75.0 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

76.9%

Model confidence

76.9%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Tel AvivWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AshdodDWWLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Maccabi Tel AvivAshdod
69.4Attack29.3
76.9Defence54.5
78.7Form37.4
75.0Power42.5
2.24xG0.39
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