Maccabi Petah Tikvavs
Maccabi Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Maccabi Haifa
Original prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.95 | 15.4% | 19.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.2% | 19.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 65.4% | 60.4% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Haifa
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40