Maccabi Petah Tikvavs
Ironi Tiberias
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/5/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Petah Tikva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Ironi Tiberias
Original prediction
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.2% | 46.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.9% | 27.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 27.0% | 26.6% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Maccabi Petah Tikva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00