Maccabi Petah Tikvavs
Hapoel Katamon
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Petah Tikva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-4 Hapoel Katamon
Original prediction
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.1% | 43.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.7% | 25.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.2% | 31.5% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Maccabi Petah Tikva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00