GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/8/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Petah Tikva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Petah TikvaDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel KatamonWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 2.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel Katamon
25.0Attack58.3
58.3Defence50.0
25.0Form58.3
39.1Power57.5
1.25xG1.46
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