GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 8/26/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Petah Tikva are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Petah TikvaLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel KatamonWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel Katamon
44.4Attack38.4
42.4Defence60.6
40.4Form43.4
43.4Power49.5
1.11xG1.23
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