Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmedvs
Ironi Nesher
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Nesher · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-2 Ironi Nesher
Original prediction
Ironi Nesher
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.41 | 16.5% | 16.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.1% | 21.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.4% | 62.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Nesher
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Ironi Nesher has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80