Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmedvs
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 2-4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Original prediction
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.5% | 28.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.0% | 43.0% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40