Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmedvs
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 4-1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Original prediction
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.3% | 44.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60