Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmedvs
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Original prediction
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.0% | 36.9% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 27.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 44.9% | 35.9% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20