Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvs
Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2-3 Tira
Original prediction
Tira
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.2% | 33.1% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.3% | 38.9% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tira
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Tira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLDDDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TiraDDWWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Maccabi Neve Sha'ananTira
51.5Attack100.0
56.1Defence100.0
54.5Form100.0
55.1Power97.0
1.36xG1.40