Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvs
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1-2 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Original prediction
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 50.7% | 45.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 25.7% | 26.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 23.6% | 28.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00