Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvs
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/19/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1-1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Original prediction
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.0% | 37.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 26.8% | 26.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.2% | 36.0% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80